Before now, in the Netherlands, there has never been a model that predicts the growth of a natural fire reliably, in real time and realistically. The fire brigade is accustomed to working with statistical templates and guidelines, which do work but, for example, do not take into account the current weather situation at the location of the fire. The Natural Fire Spread Model, developed by the Netherlands Institute for Safety (IFV) along with Efectis Nederland, various safety regions and Geodan, will bring about a change to that.
The natural fire spread model:
The service can be used through a web-based GIS environment. The website includes all basic functionality to start a new natural fire simulation and to retrieve and view the results. It is also possible to share the results of the model through a crisis management system. The service offers additional options for performing spatial analyses such as:
The model has undergone extensive testing and was successfully used during the natural fire at the Groote Heide in Leende on the 26th of March 2013. The fire took hold in a poorly accessible area at dusk. Despite the fact that a calculation by the model is an approximation of reality, the result of the calculation was very close to the actual spread.